2022 年 展望 【 希望 之聲 粵語 - 粵講粵 有理 -2022/01/02】 主持 : 石頭 嘉賓 ： 路橋 2022年の展望 [Voice of Hope Cantonese - 広東語を話す広東語をリーズナブルに - 2022/01/02] 司会：Shitou ゲスト：Lu Qiao 2022年展望【希望之声粤语-粤讲粤有理-2022/01/02】主持:石头嘉宾：路桥 2022 Outlook 【Sound of Hope Cantonese - Cantonese Talk with Reason - 2022/01/02】Host: Shitou Guest: Luqiao

道理 越 講越 明白 真相 越 挖 越 清楚 這裏 是 【 粤 講粤 有理 】 The more we talk about the reasoning, the clearer the truth becomes. Here is 【Cantonese Talk with Reason】.

大家 好 這裏 是 【 粤 講粤 有理 】 Hello everyone, here is 【Cantonese Talk with Reason】.

我 是 石頭 今天 作客 我們 節目 的 是 時事評論 員 路橋 女士 I|am|Shitou|today|guest|our|program|possessive particle|is|current affairs commentary|commentator|Luqiao|Ms ||senhora|hoje||||||||| I am Shitou. Today, our guest on the program is current affairs commentator Ms. Luqiao.

路橋 你好 你好 大家 好 Luk Kiu|hello|hello|everyone|good |||todos| Luqiao, hello! Hello everyone!

本來 這 一集 節目 是 在 上 一期 做 的 originally|this|episode|program|was|at|last|issue|done|past tense marker originalmente||um episódio|programa||na|||| Originally, this episode was supposed to be done in the last issue.

就是 要 對 2022 年 的 一個 展望 來 的 that is|to|towards|year|possessive particle|one|outlook|coming|past action particle é||em relação a|ano|||perspectiva|| It was meant to be a forecast for the year 2022.

上 一期 的 節目 因為 《 立場 新聞 》 的 事情 last|episode|possessive particle|program|because|Standpoint|News|possessive particle|matter última|último||programa||||| The last episode was affected by the situation with 'Stand News'.

我們 今期 就 改 在 2022 年 做 這個 展望 we|this period|then|change|in|year|do|this|projection nós|este ano|||||||perspectiva So this time, we decided to make the forecast for 2022.

在 2021 年 發生 了 很多 事情 那 2022 年 中共 將 何去何從 呢 in|year|happened|past tense marker|many|events|then|year|Chinese Communist Party|will|where it will go from here|question particle A lot happened in 2021, so where will the Chinese Communist Party go in 2022?

今日 請 路橋 來 和 我們 分析 一下 today|please|Luqiao|come|and|we|analyze|a little Today, please invite Luqiao to analyze with us.

今年 是 新年 的 第一次 和 大家 做 節目 this year|is|New Year|possessive particle|first time|with|everyone|do|program This year is the first New Year program with everyone.

希望 大家 新年 平安 、身體健康 、心情愉快 hope|everyone|New Year|peace|good health|happiness |||||feliz I hope everyone has peace in the New Year, good health, and a happy mood.

我們 個個 都 希望 2022 年 比 2021 年 要 好 we|everyone|all|hope|year|than|year|will|better We all hope that 2022 will be better than 2021.

例如 在 中國 大陸 來說 for example|in|China|mainland|from the perspective of ||China|China continental|em termos de For example, in mainland China.

可能 他們 在 2022 年 面對 的 困境 仍然 是 非常 大 possibly|they|in|year|faced|(possessive particle)|difficulties|still|is|very|large ||||||dificuldade|||muito| They may still be facing significant difficulties in 2022.

而且 可能 是 更 大 的 我們 都 知道 and|possibly|is|even|bigger|(possessive particle)|we|all|know além disso|||||||| And it may be even greater than we all know.

整個 中共 的 政權 是 建立 在 幾樣 東西 之上 的 entire|Communist Party|possessive particle|regime|is|established|on|several|things|on top of|particle indicating past action The entire regime of the Chinese Communist Party is built on several things.

第一個 就是 它 和 世界 的 關係 the first|is|it|and|world|possessive particle|relationship The first is its relationship with the world.

它 的 錢 都 是 因為 和 世界 做生意 拿 回來 的 它 和 世界 的 關係 很 重要 it|possessive particle|money|all|is|because|and|world|do business|take|back|possessive particle|it|and|world|possessive particle|relationship|very|important ||||||||||||||||関係|| Its money comes from doing business with the world, so its relationship with the world is very important.

也 是 它 達到 自己 的 統治 世界 夢想 的 一條 路 來 的 also|is|it|achieving|its own|possessive particle|ruling|world|dream|possessive particle|a|road|coming|possessive particle It is also a path for it to achieve its dream of ruling the world.

現在 這條 路 已經 是 封死 了 now|this|road|already|is|blocked|past tense marker Now this path has already been blocked.

第二個 對 它們 政權 很 重要 當然 就是 經濟 是 因為 中共 有錢 second|to|them|regime|very|important|of course|is|economy|is|because|CCP|is wealthy The second thing that is very important to their regime is of course the economy, because the Chinese Communist Party has money.

所以 國內 的 人 很多 時候 很多 不好 的 東西 so|domestic|possessive particle|people|many|times|many|bad|possessive particle|things So domestically, many times there are many bad things.

或者 很大 的 痛苦 他們 願意 去 忍受 maybe|very great|possessive particle|pain|they|willing|to|endure Or a lot of pain that they are willing to endure.

因為 生活 是 越來越 好 似乎 在 過去 改革開放 裏面 because|life|is|more and more|good|seems|in|past|reform and opening up|inside Because life is getting better, it seems that in the past, during the reform and opening up.

他們 覺得 這個 國家 越來越 走上 一個 好 的 道路 上 They|feel|this|country|more and more|is heading towards|a|good|(possessive particle)|road|on They feel that this country is increasingly on a good path.

自己 有些 什麼 艱難 就 忍 一忍 所以 經濟 是 它 合法性 的 來源 oneself|some|what|difficulties|then|endure|endure once|so|economy|is|it|legitimacy|possessive particle|source If they face some difficulties, they just endure it, so the economy is the source of its legitimacy.

這個 政權 合法性 的 來源 第三 就是 疫情 的 控制 this|regime|legitimacy|possessive particle|source|third|is|pandemic|possessive particle|control The source of this regime's legitimacy, thirdly, is the control of the pandemic.

疫情 的 控制 與 很多 事情 都 有 關係 我們 可以 談一談 epidemic|possessive particle|control|and|many|things|all|have|relationship|we|can|have a talk The control of the pandemic is related to many things, we can talk about it.

和 經濟 的 關係 和 民生 有 關係 and|economy|possessive particle|relationship|and|livelihood|has|relationship The relationship with the economy is related to people's livelihoods.

與 人 如何 對待 共產黨 的 看法 也 有 關係 with|people|how|treat|Communist Party|possessive particle|view|also|has|relationship How people treat the Communist Party also matters.

如果 這 幾樣 東西 它 (中共 )都 搞得掂 (做好 )的話 if|these|several|things|it|CCP|all|can handle|do well|then If it (the CCP) can handle these few things well,

可以 說 中共 雖然 有 很多 事情 是 倒行逆施 can|say|Communist Party of China|although|has|many|things|are|regressive actions it can be said that although the CCP has many things that are regressive,

但是 會 比較 安穩 地 渡過 but|will|relatively|safely|adverbial particle|get through it will pass through more steadily.

你 看 習近平 以前 胡錦濤 、 江澤民 一直 都 是 這樣 渡過 的 You see, Xi Jinping has been going through this just like Hu Jintao and Jiang Zemin did before.

但是 去 到 習近平 特別 是 近 這 兩年 情況 就 很 不 一樣 了 but|go|to|Xi Jinping|especially|is|in|this|two years|situation|then|very|not|the same|past tense marker But when it comes to Xi Jinping, especially in the last two years, the situation has changed significantly.

所以 我們 看 它 的 合法性 就是 在 這 幾樣 東西 裏面 so|we|look|it|possessive particle|legality|is|in|this|several|things|inside So we look at its legitimacy within these few aspects.

我們 就 這 幾樣 東西 來 分析 一下 we|just|these|few|things|to|analyze|a bit Let's analyze these few aspects.

2022 年 究竟 會 是 怎樣 或者 我們 講 2022 之前 year|exactly|will|be|how|or|we|talk|before What will 2022 be like, or we can talk about before 2022.

一定 都 要 回顧 一下 2021 甚至 2020 (年) 這樣 才 有些 對比 definitely|also|need to|review|a little|even|(year)|like this|only then|some|comparison We definitely need to reflect on 2021 and even 2020 to have some comparisons.

就 疫情 來說 最大 的 事情 當然 就是 西安 regarding|pandemic|in terms of|biggest|possessive particle|event|of course|is just|Xi'an In terms of the pandemic, the biggest event is of course Xi'an.

西安 12 月 23 號 封 城 到 現在 我們 看 視頻 或 聽到 的 就是 一塌糊塗 Xi'an|month|day|closed|city|until|now|we|watch|video|or|heard|past tense marker|is|a complete mess Xi'an has been under lockdown since December 23, and what we see in videos or hear is complete chaos.

很多 人 說 趕不上 買 食物 等 東西 超級市場 已 被 搶購一空 many|people|say|can't catch up|buy|food|and other|things|supermarket|already|by|sold out Many people say they can't keep up with buying food and other necessities; supermarkets have been completely emptied.

現在 又 不准 外出 有些 人 餓 到 在 網站 、微博上 求救 now|again|not allowed|to go out|some|people|hungry|to|at|website|on Weibo|asking for help Now, we are not allowed to go out, and some people are so hungry that they are asking for help on websites and Weibo.

很多 人 差不多 是 彈盡糧絕 例如 孕婦 有 求救 的 消息 出來 many|people|almost|are|out of ammunition and food|for example|pregnant women|have|distress|possessive particle|news|come out ||||弾尽き、食糧が尽きる||||||| Many people are almost out of resources, for example, there are distress signals from pregnant women.

因為 今天 就是 她 的 生產 期 但 醫生 不肯 接 她 because|today|is|she|possessive particle|delivery|due date|but|doctor|unwilling to|admit|her Because today is her due date, but the doctor refuses to accept her.

因為 她 來自 高風險 區 所以 種種 的 情況 都 有 because|she|comes from|high-risk|area|so|all kinds of|possessive particle|situations|all|have Because she comes from a high-risk area, there are various situations.

黨 現在 在 宣傳 三胎 她 要 生 的話 你 不 讓 生 party|now|at|promoting|third child|she|wants|to give birth|if|you|not|allow|to give birth The party is now promoting having a third child, but if she wants to give birth, you won't let her.

這個 應該 是 犯法 的 完全 是 違背 了 黨 的 意志 呀 this|should|is|illegal|possessive particle|completely|is|against|past tense marker|party|possessive particle|will|sentence-final particle This should be illegal, it completely goes against the party's will.

據說 解放軍 已經 駐進 了 西安 醫院 it is said|People's Liberation Army|already|stationed|past tense marker|Xi'an|hospital It is said that the People's Liberation Army has already stationed at the Xi'an hospital.

而 這個 解放軍 裏面 的 醫療隊 曾經 是 進駐 過 武漢 火神山 醫院 的 and|this|People's Liberation Army|inside|possessive particle|medical team|once|was|stationed|past tense marker|Wuhan|Huoshenshan|hospital|possessive particle And this medical team from the People's Liberation Army had previously been stationed at the Wuhan Huoshenshan Hospital.

情況 是 相當 惡劣 給人 的 感覺 就是 兩年 前 的 武漢 situation|is|quite|bad|gives people|possessive particle|feeling|just like|two years|ago|possessive particle|Wuhan The situation is quite severe, giving the impression of Wuhan two years ago.

你 說 那時 沒 經驗 還 說得過去 you|said|at that time|no|experience|still|could be understood You could say that there was no experience back then.

但 現在 西安 是 經過 2020 年 的 1 月 20 幾號 but|now|Xi'an|is|after|year|possessive particle|month|what date But now, Xi'an has gone through the events of January 20, 2020.

1 月 20 號 才 通知 大家 有 疫情 的 month|day|only|notify|everyone|has|epidemic|past tense marker On January 20, everyone was notified about the pandemic.

如果 我 沒有 記錯 的話 應該 是 2020 年 的 1 月 23 號 宣佈 封城 的 if|I|not|mistaken|particle indicating condition|should|is|year|possessive particle|month|day|announced|lockdown|particle indicating past action If I remember correctly, it should have been announced on January 23, 2020, that the city would be locked down.

算 兩年 吧 但 一點 都 沒 改進 count|two years|suggestion particle|but|a little|at all|not|improvement Let's count it as two years, but there has been no improvement at all.

到 今天 仍然 是 一般 人 在 付 慘重 的 代價 until|today|still|is|ordinary|people|at|paying|heavy|possessive particle|price Even today, ordinary people are still paying a heavy price.

他們 的 生命 、民生 、生計 全部 都 受到 影響 they|possessive particle|life|livelihood|means of living|all|all|received|impact Their lives, livelihoods, and means of making a living have all been affected.

經常 都 說 的 了 中共 根本 不會 理 民眾 的 死活 的 嘛 often|all|say|past action particle|completed action particle|Chinese Communist Party|fundamentally|will not|care about|people|possessive particle|livelihood|past action particle|question particle It is often said that the Communist Party does not care about the lives and deaths of the people.

它 自己 主要 搞得定 (搞好 )就 可以 啦 至於 其他 的 民眾 怎樣 it|itself|mainly|can handle|do well|then|can|particle indicating completion|as for|other|possessive particle|citizens|how As long as it can manage its own affairs well, it doesn't matter how the other citizens are doing.

基本上 是 不理 的 唯一 的 目標 就是 「清零 」 basically|is|ignoring|possessive particle|only|possessive particle|goal|is just|zero COVID Basically, it does not care; the only goal is "zero COVID."

其它 的 就 一概不理 這個 就是 真正 的 「社會主義 特色 」了 other|possessive particle|then|completely ignore|this|is|true|possessive particle|socialism|characteristic|past action particle |||一概不理||||||| Everything else is ignored; this is the true "characteristic of socialism."

就 西安 這件 事 大家 有 幾件事 都 在 問的 regarding|Xi'an|this|matter|everyone|has|several things|all|are|asking Regarding the incident in Xi'an, there are several things that everyone is questioning.

第一個 就是說 這次 為 什麼 要 封城 呢 the first one|that is to say|this time|for|why|needs to|lockdown|question particle The first thing is to say, why is there a lockdown this time?

其實 你 看 它 的 個案 並不 多 actually|you|look|it|possessive particle|cases|not very|many In fact, if you look at the cases, there aren't many.

跟 我們 在 西方 來 比 簡直 就是 小巫 見 大巫 with|us|in|the West|come|compare|simply|just|minor sorcerer|seen|major sorcerer Compared to what we have in the West, it's simply a small issue.

因為 是 那個 鼠疫 叫做 出血熱 究竟 是 這件 事 還是 肺炎 呢 because|is|that|plague|called|hemorrhagic fever|after all|is|this|matter|or|pneumonia|question particle Because the plague is called hemorrhagic fever, is it this matter or pneumonia?

究竟 是 什麼 呢 完全 沒 人 知道 大家 只能 是 猜測 exactly|is|what|question particle|completely|no|one|knows|everyone|can only|is|guess What exactly is it? No one knows, everyone can only speculate.

一點 都 沒 透明度 這也 是 令 西方 很 擔心 的 a little|at all|no|transparency|this also|is|causing|the West|very|worried|particle indicating possession or modification There is absolutely no transparency, which is also a cause for concern in the West.

表面 上 沒有 人 說 什麼 但 每個 都 在 看 著 是否 又 來 了 呢 surface|on|no|one|said|anything|but|everyone|all|at|looking|continuous aspect particle|whether|again|come|past tense particle|question particle On the surface, no one is saying anything, but everyone is watching to see if it will happen again.

沙士 （SARS）之後 就是 武漢 肺炎 SARS||after|is|Wuhan|pneumonia After SARS, it was the Wuhan pneumonia.

現在 來說 什麼 出血熱 又 說 什麼 鼠疫 now|to say|what|hemorrhagic fever|again|to say|what|plague Now they are talking about hemorrhagic fever and plague.

真是 把 人 都 嚇怕 了 聽到 都 害怕 really|(particle indicating disposal)|people|all|scared|past tense marker|hearing|all|afraid It really scares people; just hearing about it is frightening.

第二個 就是 我 剛 才 所說 的 它 處理 的 方式 就是 一塌糊塗 the second|is|I|just|now|said|possessive particle|it|handling|possessive particle|way|is|a complete mess |||||||||||めちゃくちゃ| The second point is that the way it is handled, as I just mentioned, is a complete mess.

搞 到 人們 連 吃 都 沒有 什麼 都 配不上 的 It has led to people not even having enough to eat, as nothing seems to be adequate.

像 給人 的 感覺 就是 簡單 、粗暴 地 作 了 一個 這樣 的 決定 like|giving people|possessive particle|feeling|is|simple|brutally|adverbial particle|make|past tense marker|one|such|possessive particle|decision It gives the impression that a simple and crude decision was made.

任由 那些 民眾 自己 去 掙扎 求存 let|those|citizens|themselves|go|struggle|survive Leaving those citizens to struggle and survive on their own.

為什麼 只有 100、200 多個 case 就要 封城 也 沒 解釋 why|only|more than|cases|then must|lockdown|also|no|explanation Why is it that with only 100 or 200 cases, a lockdown is necessary, and there is no explanation?

傳 出來 的 這些 消息 其實 對 中共 的 形象 打擊 是 非常 大 transmit|out|possessive particle|these|news|actually|towards|Chinese Communist Party|possessive particle|image|blow|is|very|big The news that has come out is actually a huge blow to the image of the Chinese Communist Party.

特別 是 現在 冬奧 還有 幾個 禮拜 就是 冬奧 Especially now that there are only a few weeks left until the Winter Olympics.

中共 這樣 處理 一個 疫情 對 中共 Chinese Communist Party|this way|handling|a|pandemic|towards|Chinese Communist Party The way the Chinese Communist Party is handling this pandemic is detrimental to them.

特別 它 從 2020 年 到 現在 一直 都 說 自己 的 方式 是 最好 的 especially|it|from|year|until|now|always|all|says|itself|possessive particle|way|is|best|possessive particle Especially since they have been claiming since 2020 that their approach is the best.

比 全球 的 處理方式 都 好 怎樣 嚴控 疫情 怎樣 「清零 」 compared to|global|possessive particle|handling methods|all|better|how|strict control|pandemic|how|zero COVID cases Better than the global handling of the situation, how they strictly control the pandemic and achieve 'zero cases'.

但 現在 在 西安 就 這件 事 來說 已 穿 煲 （被 揭穿 ） but|now|in|Xi'an|just|this|matter|regarding|already|exposed|pot|be|revealed But now, in Xi'an, regarding this matter, it has already been exposed.

一點 都 沒 比 其他人 好 而且 讓 其他人 感覺 它們 是 很 恐怖 a little|at all|not|better|other people|good|and|make|other people|feel|they|are|very|scary It is not any better than others, and it makes others feel that it is very terrifying.

不顧 人民 的 死活 、不顧 民生 做法 簡單 、粗暴 、沒 計劃 disregarding|people|possessive particle|survival|disregarding|livelihood|approach|simple|crude|no|plan Ignoring the people's survival, the approach to people's livelihoods is simple, crude, and unplanned.

還有 就是 沒 人 需要 負責 also|just|no|one|needs|responsible Moreover, no one needs to take responsibility.

不是 說 有些 官員 問責 下台 嗎 not|said|some|officials|accountability|resign|question particle Isn't it said that some officials are held accountable and resign?

你 可以 說 不是 呀 它 抓 了 26 個 官員 you|can|say|not|particle|it|arrest|past tense marker|measure word|officials You can say it wasn't them, they caught 26 officials.

處罰 了 這 26 個 官員 這 26 個 官員 都 是 很 低級 的 They punished these 26 officials, and all of them are very low-level.

他們 沒 可能 作 一個 封城 的 決定 中下階層 的 官員 they|not|possible|make|a|lockdown|possessive particle|decision|lower-level|possessive particle|officials They couldn't possibly make a decision to lock down the city, these lower-level officials.

他們 看到 自己 的 同僚 被 罰 會 有 什麼 反應 呢 They|see|themselves|possessive particle|colleague|by|punished|will|have|what|reaction|question particle What reaction do you think they would have when they see their colleagues being punished?

他們 就 搏 ( 拼 ) 命地 去 控制 、 上層 要罰 我 They would fight desperately to control the situation, saying the higher-ups want to punish me.

我 就 搏 (拼) 命地 去 控制 一般 的 民眾 I|then|fight|(struggle)|desperately|to|control|general|possessive particle|public I am fighting for my life to control the general public.

在 他們 家門口 釘釘板 不准 外出 at|they|front door|notice board|not allowed|go out Nailing boards at their doorsteps to prevent them from going out.

用盡 極度 暴力 的 方式 去 控制 民眾 現在 的 情況 就是 這樣 exhaust|extreme|violent|possessive particle|method|to|control|people|now|possessive particle|situation|is|like this Using extreme violence to control the public; this is the current situation.

再 一個 就是 西安 是 一個 很大 的 城市 again|one|is|Xi'an|is|a|very large|possessive particle|city Another point is that Xi'an is a very large city.

一千三百 萬 人口 比 武漢 多 了 二百萬 人 1300|ten thousand|population|than|Wuhan|more|past tense marker|2 million|people With a population of thirteen million, it is two million more than Wuhan.

它 是 半導體 一個 很 重要 的 生產 重鎮 來 的 it|is|semiconductor|a|very|important|possessive particle|production|hub|from|possessive particle It is a very important production hub for semiconductors.

新能源 汽車 新能源 產業 都 是 一個 龍頭 重鎮 來 的 The new energy vehicles and new energy industry are also a leading hub.

這次 的 封城 當然 是 影響 啦 三星 （Samsung）也 在 那裏 this time|possessive particle|lockdown|of course|is|impact|sentence-final particle|Samsung||also|at|there This lockdown, of course, has an impact; Samsung is also there.

而 這個 大陸 的 民營 汽車 叫做 比亞迪 and|this|mainland|possessive particle|private|car|is called|BYD This private car manufacturer in mainland China is called BYD.

是 間 很大 的 廠 也 在 那裏 當然 會 影響 啦 is|measure word for buildings|very big|possessive particle|factory|also|at|there|of course|will|affect|particle indicating a change or new situation It is a very large factory, and it will certainly be affected.

但 我 覺得 中共 現在 已 顧不了 那麼多 東西 了 but|I|think|Communist Party|now|already|cannot take care of|that many|things|past tense marker But I think the CCP can no longer take care of so many things now.

總括 來說 西安 這次 的 情況 in summary|speaking of|Xi'an|this time|possessive particle|situation Overall, the situation in Xi'an this time.

全 打破 了 中共 一 直說 「自己 的 道路 正確 、封城 正確 completely|shattered|past tense marker|Chinese Communist Party|one|has always said|self|possessive particle|road|correct|lockdown|correct Completely shattered the myth that the CCP has always claimed, 'Our own path is correct, lockdowns are correct.

控制 疫情 比 別人 好 」這個 神話 打破 了 control|epidemic|than|others|better|this|myth|broken|past tense marker Controlling the pandemic is better than others.'

大家 看得 清清楚楚 一點 也 沒 進步 everyone|can see|clearly|a little|also|not|progress Everyone can see clearly that there has been no progress at all.

跟 兩年 前 是 一模一樣 with|two years|ago|is|exactly the same It's exactly the same as two years ago.

為 什麼 中共 還要 再 一意孤行 呢 why|does|CCP|still want to|again|act unilaterally|question particle Why does the CCP still insist on going its own way?

這個 嚴厲 封城 其實 當初 它 以為 成功 this|strict|lockdown|actually|at first|it|thought|successful This strict lockdown was initially thought to be successful.

但是 現在 越 看 越 像是 一個 陷阱 2020 年 那 一 年 but|now|the more|look|the more|seems like|a|trap|year|that|one|year But now it increasingly looks like a trap, just like in 2020.

中共 的確 是 很 威風 它 是 極力 地 控制 Communist Party|indeed|is|very|powerful|it|is|vigorously|adverbial particle|control ||||威風||||| The CCP was indeed very powerful; it was trying hard to control.

然後 因為 有 所有 的 口罩 和 防護服 then|because|have|all|possessive particle|masks|and|protective suits Then, because of all the masks and protective clothing.

當時 來說 連 美國 也 要 去 求 它 at that time|in terms of|even|the United States|also|needed|to go|seek|it At that time, even the United States had to beg for it.

美國 要 去 求 （中共 ）放行 一些 防護服 、口罩 全球 都 要 向 它 買 United States|wants|to|request|Chinese Communist Party|release|some|protective suits|masks|globally|all|need|from|it|buy The United States had to ask (the Chinese Communist Party) to release some protective clothing and masks; the whole world had to buy from it.

那個 時候 進行 它 的 所謂 「口罩 外交 」大家 是否 記得 that|time|carried out|it|possessive particle|so-called|mask|diplomacy|everyone|whether|remembers At that time, it was conducting its so-called 'mask diplomacy'; does everyone remember?

但是 到 了 2021 年 的 情況 就 不 一樣 啦 but|by|past tense marker|year|possessive particle|situation|then|not|the same|sentence-final particle But by 2021, the situation was different.

2021 年 開始 的 時候 美國 首先 有 疫苗 了 year|started|possessive particle|time|the United States|first|had|vaccine|past tense marker In 2021, the United States was the first to have a vaccine.

大量 地 和 自己 的 民眾 接種 全世界 的 疫苗 開始 很 普及 了 large number|adverbial particle|and|self|possessive particle|public|vaccination|whole world|possessive particle|vaccine|started|very|widespread|past tense marker A large number of its citizens began to receive vaccines, and vaccines became widely available around the world.

在 不停 地 學 在 衡量 用 疫苗 是否 是 個 最好 的方法 at|continuously|adverbial particle|learning|at|measuring|using|vaccine|whether|is|the|best|method There is ongoing learning and assessment of whether using vaccines is the best method.

當然 西方 也 是 有 很多 的 教訓 of course|the West|also|is|has|many|possessive particle|lessons Of course, the West has also learned many lessons.

現在 看到 的 疫苗 要 不停 地 打 才 沒事 會 比較 好些 now|seeing|possessive particle|vaccine|must|continuously|adverbial particle|inject|only then|no problem|will|relatively|better Now, it seems that the vaccines need to be administered continuously to be more effective.

但是 怎樣 都 好 西方 是 很 謙虛 地 在 這件 事 上學 （習） but|no matter how|all|good|the West|is|very|humble|adverbial particle|in|this|matter|learning|(study) But no matter what, the West is very humbly learning in this matter.

各國 政府 你 說 他 對 不 對 也 是 另外 一 回事 all countries|government|you|said|he|right|not|right|also|is|another|one|matter As for the governments of various countries, whether you say they are right or wrong is another matter.

而是 他們 很 努力 地 想 去 在 整件事 裏面 學習 but|they|very|hard|adverbial particle|want|to go|in|the whole thing|inside|learn Rather, they are working hard to learn from the whole situation.

因為 看到 如果 不 與 它 共存 的話 他們 的 經濟 會 受到 很 慘痛 的 打擊 because|seeing|if|not|with|it|coexist|then|they|possessive particle|economy|will|be subjected to|very|painful|possessive particle|blow Because they see that if they do not coexist with it, their economy will suffer a very painful blow.

而 這種 打擊 是 還原 不了 的 人 的 精神 健康 And this kind of blow cannot be restored to a person's mental health.

甚至 身體健康 都 會 受到 很大 很大 的 壓力 even|physical health|also|will|be subjected to|very great|very great|(possessive particle)|pressure Even physical health can be under a lot of pressure.

那個 醫療 團隊 可能 會 救 了 些 人 that|medical|team|might|will|save|past tense marker|some|people That medical team may have saved some people.

但 救 不了 其他 患 癌病 或者 是 膽固醇 、 血壓高 的 But they cannot save others who have cancer or high cholesterol or high blood pressure.

很多很多 的 問題 西方人 不停 地 在 學 many many|possessive particle|questions|Westerners|continuously|adverbial particle|progressive aspect marker|learning Many, many problems that Westerners are constantly learning about.

但 中 ( 共 ) 國 不是 這樣 它 是 一條 路 走 到底 But China (the Communist Party) is not like that; it is a one-way street.

去 到 2021 年 的 時候 就 能 看到 它 已經 慢慢 地 在 控制 疫情 方面 輸 了 go|to|year|possessive particle|time|then|can|see|it|already|slowly|adverbial particle|in|controlling|epidemic|aspect|lose|past tense marker By the time we reached 2021, we could see that it was slowly losing control over the pandemic.

自己 所謂 粗暴 的 零 容忍 方式 oneself|so-called|violent|possessive particle|zero|tolerance|method Its so-called brutal zero-tolerance approach.

已經 是 將 自己 放在 一個 泥 氹 （泥坑 ）裏面 出不來 already|is|to put|oneself|placed in|a|mud|pit|mud pit|inside|cannot get out Has already put itself in a quagmire (mud pit) from which it cannot escape.

因為 中共 是 不會 認輸 的 Because the Chinese Communist Party will not admit defeat.

我 覺得 它 是 有意無意 也 是 用 這種 方法 I|think|it|is|intentionally or unintentionally|also|is|using|this kind of|method I think it is intentionally or unintentionally using this method.

希望 在 二十大 之前 控制 社會 上 整個 局面 hope|before|20th National Congress|before|control|society|on|entire|situation Hope to control the entire situation in society before the 20th National Congress.

最好 把 人 整天 關 在 家裏 什麼 事 都 沒 什麼 都 由 我 來 控制 it's best|(particle indicating disposal)|person|all day|locked|in|home|what|matters|all|not|anything|all|by|I|(verb particle)|control It would be best to keep people locked up at home all day, with everything under my control.

它 的 著 眼點 和 西方 不 一樣 西方 是 醫學 上 的 、科學 的 it|possessive particle|focus|perspective|and|the West|not|the same|the West|is|medical|in|possessive particle|scientific|possessive particle Its focus is different from the West; the West is medical and scientific.

然後 著眼 去 控制 疫情 去 救人 的 then|focusing|to|control|pandemic|to|save people|possessive particle Then it focuses on controlling the epidemic to save lives.

但 中共 是 意識形態 的 、是 政權 的 but|Communist Party|is|ideology|possessive particle|is|regime|possessive particle But the Chinese Communist Party is ideological and about maintaining power.

不理 人民 死活 和 民生 及 經濟 的 ignore|people|survival|and|livelihood|and|economy|possessive particle Ignoring the people's survival and their livelihoods and the economy.

所以 大家 的 起點 是 不 一樣 在 這種 情況 之下 so|everyone|possessive particle|starting point|is|not|the same|in|this kind of|situation|under So everyone's starting point is different under these circumstances.

當然 中國 人 首先 要 付出 很大 的 代價 of course|China|people|first|must|pay|very large|possessive particle|price Of course, the Chinese people have to pay a very high price first.

因為 辛苦 的 最終 就是 中國 人 because|hard work|possessive particle|ultimately|is|China|people Because in the end, it is the Chinese people who suffer.

但是 中 ( 共 ) 國 本身 現在 來說 是 最 缺錢 的 時候 However, the (Communist) country is currently in the most financially strained situation.

經濟 很 重要 的 時候 它 都 要 付出代價 很 簡單 economy|very|important|possessive particle|time|it|also|must|pay the price|very|simple The economy is very important, but it has to pay a price, which is very simple.

服務業 就 沒有 辦法 復甦 了 我們 很 清楚 地 知道 service industry|then|no|way|recovery|past tense marker|we|very|clearly|adverbial particle|know The service industry has no way to recover, and we know this very clearly.

曾經 我們 Lockdown 的 時候 是 到 了 什麼樣 的 境況 once|we|lockdown|possessive particle|time|was|reached|past tense marker|what kind of|possessive particle|situation We once experienced what the situation was like during the lockdown.

在 西方 也 是 一樣 但 現在 慢慢 來講 就 放鬆 了 很多 in|the West|also|is|the same|but|now|slowly|speaking|then|relaxed|past tense marker|a lot It is the same in the West, but now it has gradually relaxed a lot.

製造業 也 是 面臨 很大 的 影響 經濟 方面 中共 是 在 付出代價 的 manufacturing industry|also|is|facing|very large|possessive particle|impact|economy|aspect|Chinese Communist Party|is|at|paying the price|past action particle The manufacturing industry is also facing a huge impact; economically, the Chinese Communist Party is paying a price.

剛才 你 說 到 了 這樣 的 做法 會 影響 了 經濟 just now|you|said|to|past tense marker|this way|possessive particle|approach|will|affect|past tense marker|economy Just now, you mentioned that this kind of approach would affect the economy.

不如說 一下 中共 的 經濟 吧 why not say|briefly|Chinese Communist Party|possessive particle|economy|suggestion particle How about we talk about the Chinese Communist Party's economy?

說 到 這裏 我們 就 說一說 中共 的 經濟 say|to|here|we|then|talk a little about|Chinese Communist Party|possessive particle|economy Speaking of this, let's discuss the economy of the Chinese Communist Party.

2020 年 那個 時候 因為 全世界 真是 在 很 混亂 當中 year|that|time|because|the whole world|really|in|very|chaos|in the midst of In 2020, at that time, the whole world was really in a state of chaos.

所有 主要 的 國家 的 GDP 全都 一瀉千里 各國 都 不行 all|major|possessive particle|countries|possessive particle|GDP|all|rapidly|each country|all|not doing well The GDP of all major countries plummeted, and every country was struggling.

而 中共 2020 年 的 時候 說 自己 是 全球 主要 經濟體 中 and|CCP|year|possessive particle|time|said|itself|is|global|major|economy|among In 2020, the Chinese Communist Party claimed to be the only country among the major economies in the world that had net growth.

唯一 有淨 增長 的 一個 國家 中共 所有 的 數據 都 有 水份 的 All the data from the Communist Party is questionable.

不 可以 完全 信 當時 它 拿 出來 的 數據 not|can|completely|trust|at that time|it|took|out|possessive particle|data |||||||||データ One cannot fully trust the data it presented at that time.

它 就 可以 這樣 說 了 我 是 唯一 增長 的 it|then|can|like this|say|past tense marker|I|am|only|growth|possessive particle It could just say that it was the only one with growth.

但是 到 了 2021 年 的 秋季 就 有 了 很大 的 逆轉 but|arrive|past tense marker|year|possessive particle|autumn|then|had|past tense marker|very big|possessive particle|reversal |||||秋季||||||逆転 However, by the autumn of 2021, there was a significant reversal.

2021 年 的 第一季 仍然 它 的 增速 很 高 是 18.3% year|possessive particle|first quarter|still|it|possessive particle|growth rate|very|high|is In the first quarter of 2021, its growth rate was still very high at 18.3%.

第二季 是 7.9% 那個 時候 人們 已經 覺得 不妥 了 second season|is|that|time|people|already|felt|inappropriate|past tense marker In the second quarter, it was 7.9%, and at that time, people already felt something was wrong.

一跌 就 跌了 差不多 9% 到了 第三季 就 跌 到 4點多 % once it falls|then|has fallen|almost|reached|third quarter|then|fall|to|over 4 percent It dropped almost 9%, and by the third quarter, it fell to over 4%.

第三季 就 出現 了 很多 問題 third season|then|appeared|past tense marker|many|problems In the third quarter, many problems emerged.

例如 汽車 沒有 芯片 和 限電 大家 都 記憶猶新 for example|car|does not have|chip|and|power restrictions|everyone|all|remembers clearly For example, the lack of chips for cars and power restrictions are still fresh in everyone's memory.

疫情 零星 地 在 各地 爆發 從來 沒有 斷過 河南 又 水災 epidemic|sporadic|place|at|everywhere|outbreak|ever|never|stopped|Henan|again|flood The pandemic has sporadically broken out in various places and has never ceased, and now Henan is facing flooding.

所以 很多 的 因素 給 它 的 增長 造成 很大 的 衝擊 so|many|possessive particle|factors|to|it|possessive particle|growth|caused|very large|possessive particle|impact Therefore, many factors have caused a significant impact on its growth.

從 18 點多 的 第一季 降到 4 點多 全世界 對 這些 都 很 敏感 from|past 1800|possessive particle|first season|dropped to|past 400|the whole world|to|these|all|very|sensitive From over 18 in the first quarter, it dropped to over 4; the whole world is very sensitive to these changes.

馬上 覺得 中共 走向 衰落 整個 經濟 就 這樣 地 下跌 People immediately feel that the Chinese Communist Party is heading towards decline, and the entire economy is falling like this.

所以 12 月 的 時候 世界銀行 已經 調 了 中共 的 經濟 增長 預期 so|month|possessive particle|time|World Bank|already|adjusted|past tense marker|Chinese Communist Party|possessive particle|economic|growth|forecast Therefore, in December, the World Bank had already adjusted its economic growth forecast for the Chinese Communist Party.

高盛 (TheGoldmanSachsGroup,Inc.)將 2022 年 GDP Goldman Sachs|||will|year|GDP Goldman Sachs (The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.) has revised the 2022 GDP

中共 的 增長 從 以前 的 預測 降到 去 5.2% the Communist Party of China|possessive particle|growth|from|previous|possessive particle|forecast|dropped to|to growth forecast for the Chinese Communist Party down to 5.2% from previous estimates.

同 時說 中共 2021 年 第四季 的 增長 會 從 4 點多 % 跌到 3 % at the same time|said|Chinese Communist Party|year|fourth quarter|possessive particle|growth|will|from|over 4|drop to At the same time, it stated that the growth for the fourth quarter of 2021 would drop from over 4% to 3%.

這個 就是 高盛 和 世界銀行 對 它 的 預測 中共 自己 也 全部 承認 this|is|Goldman Sachs|and|World Bank|regarding|it|possessive particle|prediction|Chinese Communist Party|itself|also|all|admits This is the prediction from Goldman Sachs and the World Bank, which the Chinese Communist Party itself has fully acknowledged.

因為 中共 社科院 在 12 月初 出 了 本 《 經濟 藍皮書 》 because|Chinese Communist Party|Academy of Social Sciences|at|early|published|past tense marker|this|economic|blue book This is because the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences released a report titled "Economic Blue Book" in early December.

說 了 2022 年 全 中國 的 經濟 增長 只有 5.3% said|past tense marker|year|whole|China|possessive particle|economy|growth|only It was said that China's economic growth in 2022 was only 5.3%.

有人 說 5.3% 不錯呀 蠻 好 的 someone|said|not bad|quite|good|particle indicating completion or affirmation Some people say that 5.3% is not bad, it's quite good.

但是 告訴 你 5.3% 連 它們 要 給 的 債務 利息 都 不夠 but|tell|you|even|they|need|pay|possessive particle|debt|interest|all|not enough But let me tell you, 5.3% is not even enough to cover the interest on the debts they have to pay.

5.3% 是 絕對 沒有 辦法 提供 創造 出 足夠 的 就業機會 給 大學生 is|absolutely|no|way|to provide|to create|out|sufficient|(possessive particle)|employment opportunities|to give|university students 5.3% absolutely cannot provide enough job opportunities for college graduates.

5.3%在 其它 國家 來說 覺得 很 高 in|other|countries|in terms of|feels|very|high 5.3% seems very high compared to other countries.

但是 在 中 (共) 國 來說 是 一個 很差 很 差 的 數字 來 的 but|in|China|(communist)|country|speaking|is|a|very poor|very|bad|(possessive particle)|number|coming|(past action particle) However, in China, this is a very poor, very poor figure.

中 (共) 國 面對 怎樣 的 經濟 問題 呢 China|(common)|country|facing|what kind of|possessive particle|economic|problems|question particle What kind of economic problems is China facing?

我 想 這次 我 說 的話 沒 人 不知 的 I|want|this time|I|said|words|no|one|not know|past tense particle I think what I am saying this time is known by everyone.

不過 我 將 所有 的 資料 綜合 起來 but|I|will|all|possessive particle|information|combine|together However, I will combine all the information together.

讓 大家 有個 比較 大 的 picture (圖畫 ) let|everyone|have a|relatively|larger|possessive particle|picture|drawing So that everyone has a bigger picture.

第一個 當然 就是 房地產 泡沫 恆大 是 吧 the first|of course|is|real estate|bubble|Evergrande|is|right The first one, of course, is the real estate bubble, Evergrande, right?

除了 恆大 之外 還有 其它 接著 慢慢來 恆大 冧 了 (倒了) besides|Evergrande|other than|there are still|other|then|take it slow|Evergrande|collapsed|past tense marker|(fell) ||||||||倒|| Besides Evergrande, there are other companies that will slowly follow as Evergrande collapses.

它 欠 的 債務 據說 有 一萬億 這麼 多 it|owes|possessive particle|debt|reportedly|has|one trillion|this much|more It is said that the debt it owes is as much as one trillion.

我們 沒有 人 知道 恆大 究竟 欠 多少 we|do not have|people|know|Evergrande|exactly|owe|how much No one knows exactly how much Evergrande owes.

但 預計 是 一萬億 大概 是 這樣 的 數字 but|estimated|is|one trillion|approximately|is|like this|possessive particle|number But it is estimated to be around one trillion, roughly that figure.

它 跟 很多 銀行 借 很多 錢 這樣 還 不到 (債務) It|with|many|banks|borrow|a lot of|money|like this|repay|cannot repay|(debt) It borrows a lot of money from many banks and still cannot repay (the debt).

金融 就 不行 了 是 吧 銀行 就 不行 了 If finance fails, then the banks will fail too.

地方 的 收入 主要 是 靠 賣地 靠 收繳 地稅 place|possessive particle|revenue|mainly|is|rely on|selling land|rely on|collection|property tax The local revenue mainly relies on selling land and collecting land taxes.

購買 房屋 的 時候 在 中間 抽稅 purchase|house|possessive particle|when|at|middle|tax deduction When purchasing a house, taxes are extracted in between.

現在 恆大 不行 的 話 銀行 不行 地方 政府 不行 now|Evergrande|fails|possessive particle|if|bank|fails|local|government|fails If Evergrande fails now, the banks will fail, and the local government will fail.

接著 失業 大潮 就 來 了 很多 人 失業 then|unemployment|wave|then|came|past tense marker|many|people|unemployed Then the wave of unemployment came, and many people lost their jobs.

房地產 本身 上下游 都 有 很多 人 再加上 地方 政府 也 不行 real estate|itself|upstream and downstream|all|have|many|people|in addition|local|government|also|not effective The real estate sector itself has many people in both upstream and downstream, and on top of that, local governments are also struggling.

金融 也 不行 裁員 、減薪 很多 都 來 這是 第一個 finance|also|not possible|layoffs|pay cuts|many|all|come|this is|the first The financial sector is also struggling, with layoffs and pay cuts happening a lot; this is the first issue.

第二個 就是 能源危機 沒煤 、沒電 、沒生產 second|is|energy crisis|no coal|no electricity|no production The second issue is the energy crisis, with no coal, no electricity, and no production.

沒煤 、沒電 的 原因 我們 曾經 有 一期 講過 這裏 不 再 說 了 no coal|no electricity|possessive particle|reason|we|once|had|one episode|discussed|here|not|again|say|past tense marker The reasons for the lack of coal and electricity were discussed in a previous episode, so I won't go into that here.

種種 的 原因 導致 它 這種 情況 其中 原因 就是 減碳 排放 various|possessive particle|reasons|lead to|it|this kind of|situation|among them|reason|is exactly|carbon reduction|emissions Various reasons have led to this situation, one of which is the reduction of carbon emissions.

這個 只是 表面 上 的 原因 說 出來 好聽 點 下面 有 很多 其它 的 原因 this|only|surface|on|possessive particle|reason|said|out|pleasant|a little|below|has|many|other|possessive particle|reasons This is just a superficial reason that sounds nice; there are many other underlying reasons.

第三個 就是 產業鏈 外移 這個 大家 都 知 了 third|is|industrial chain|relocation|this|everyone|all|know|past tense marker The third reason is the relocation of the industrial chain, which everyone knows.

已 不是 2021 年 的 事 已經 幾年 了 already|not|year|possessive particle|matter|already|several years|past tense marker This is no longer a matter of 2021; it has been several years.

慢慢 工廠 走 了 人們 就 失業 很 簡單 slowly|factory|leave|past tense marker|people|then|unemployed|very|simple Slowly, factories have left, and people have become unemployed; it's very simple.

第四個 就是 自殘 自己 殘殺 自己 the fourth one|is|self-harm|oneself|killing|oneself The fourth one is self-harm, harming oneself.

大家 很 清楚 從 「螞蟻 」到 「滴滴 出行 」 everyone|very|clear|from|Ant Financial|to|Didi|travel Everyone is very clear from 'Ant' to 'Didi Chuxing'.

不停 地 在 科技 、金融 、遊戲 、娛樂 、教育 培訓 、房地產 行業 continuously|adverbial particle|in|technology|finance|gaming|entertainment|education|training|real estate|industry Continuously in technology, finance, gaming, entertainment, education and training, and real estate industries.

大量 地 去 改變 以前 的 方式 或者 將 它們 直接 消滅 了 a large amount|adverbial particle|to go|change|previous|possessive particle|method|or|will|them|directly|eliminate|past tense marker A large number of changes are made to previous methods or they are directly eliminated.

造成 很多 的 失業 人口 這是 屬於 自殘 causing|many|possessive particle|unemployment|population|this is|belongs to|self-harm This has caused a lot of unemployment, which is considered self-harm.

它 可以 不 這樣 做 但是 習近平 也 是 意識形態 it|can|not|this way|do|but|Xi Jinping|also|is|ideology He can choose not to do this, but Xi Jinping is also ideological.

他 要 走 回去 毛澤東 那條 路 他 不要 走 鄧小平 改革開放 那條 路 he|wants|to walk|back|Mao Zedong|that|road|he|does not want|to walk|Deng Xiaoping|reform and opening up|that|road He wants to go back to the path of Mao Zedong; he does not want to follow the path of Deng Xiaoping's reform and opening up.

現在 他 已經 算 客氣 了 遲些 他 真的 極端 地 走 回去 供應 那條 路 now|he|already|considered|polite|past tense marker|later|he|really|extremely|adverbial particle|walk|back|provide|that|road Now he is already being polite; later he will really go back extremely to the supply-side path.

供應 社 大家 走 那條 路 除了 國富 ( 進 ) 民退 之外 supply|society|everyone|walk|that|road|besides|national wealth|( advancing )|people retreating|outside of The supply-side society, everyone is going that way, except for the national wealth (increasing) and the people's retreat.

他 還要 走 回去 供應 那條 路 至於 能否 做成 呢 那 就 不 知道 了 he|still needs|walk|home|provide|that|road|as for|whether|succeed|question particle|that|then|not|know|past tense particle He also wants to go back to the supply-side path; as for whether it can be achieved, that is unknown.

看 他 的 政敵 是否 讓 他 這樣 做 呢 see|he|possessive particle|political enemy|whether|allow|he|like this|do|question particle Look at whether his political enemies allow him to do this.

現在 是 走 鄧小平 條路 或 走 毛澤東 那條 路 now|is|follow|Deng Xiaoping|path|or|follow|Mao Zedong|that|path Now it's about whether to follow Deng Xiaoping's path or Mao Zedong's path.

是 一個 很大 的 路線鬥爭 來 的 is|a|very big|possessive particle|ideological struggle|coming|past action particle It's a very significant ideological struggle.

是 他們 內鬥 的 其中 一個 很大 很大 的 一個 源頭 來 的 is|they|infighting|possessive particle|among them|one|very big|very big|possessive particle|one|source|coming|past action particle It's one of the major sources of their internal strife.

第四 當然 就是 通貨膨脹 沒錢 啦 就 印 銀紙 (錢 )啦 fourth|of course|is|inflation|no money|particle|then|print|paper money|money|particle Fourthly, of course, there's inflation; when there's no money, just print banknotes (money).

印 了 銀紙 ( 錢 ) 錢 不值錢 物價 高漲 Printing money (cash) makes money worthless and prices are rising.

第六 就是 在 國外 的 投資 現在 已 停止 大家 知道 美國 ···· the sixth|is|in|overseas|possessive particle|investment|now|already|stopped|everyone|knows|the United States The sixth point is that overseas investments have now stopped, as everyone knows about the United States...

以前 中共 在 美國 上市 華爾街 的 人 幫 了 中共 很多 in the past|the Communist Party of China|in|the United States|listed|Wall Street|possessive particle|people|helped|past tense marker|the Communist Party of China|a lot In the past, those on Wall Street who listed the Chinese Communist Party in the United States helped the CCP a lot.

它們 不 需要 像 其它 公司 那樣 有 財務 的 每年 核數 不 需要 的 They|not|need|like|other|companies|like|have|financial|possessive particle|every year|audit|not|need|possessive particle They do not need to have annual financial audits like other companies.

中共 的 企業 是 不用 的 現在 不是 美國 現在 要 改 Chinese Communist Party|possessive particle|enterprise|is|unnecessary|possessive particle|now|not|America|now|needs to|change The enterprises of the CCP do not need this; now the United States wants to change.

所以 這條 路 走 不通 了 華爾街 曾經 幫過 中共 賺 了 大錢 so|this|road|walk|not through|past tense marker|Wall Street|once|helped|Chinese Communist Party|earn|past tense marker|a lot of money So this road is no longer viable. Wall Street once helped the Chinese Communist Party make a lot of money.

現在 都 賺 不了 但 這 不是 唯一 一個 原因 另外 一個 原因 now|also|||but|this|is not|only|one|reason|another|one|reason Now it can't make money anymore, but that's not the only reason. Another reason is.

大家 知道 習近平 對 這樣 的 私企 是 非常 不 放心 everyone|knows|Xi Jinping|towards|such|possessive particle|private enterprises|is|very|not|at ease Everyone knows that Xi Jinping is very uneasy about private enterprises like this.

他 下令 要 它們 返回 去 中國 很多 不回 中國 就 去 了 香港 上市 He|ordered|to|they|return|to|China|many|not return|China|then|to|past tense marker|Hong Kong|list He has ordered them to return to China, and many that do not return to China have gone public in Hong Kong.

這些 就 會 很 影響 中共 的 外匯 另外 外匯 的 儲蓄 也 是 直線 下降 these|then|will|very|affect|CCP|possessive particle|foreign exchange|additionally|foreign exchange|possessive particle|savings|also|is|linearly|declining These will greatly affect the Communist Party's foreign exchange, and the foreign exchange reserves are also declining sharply.

這也 是 一個 很大 的 經濟 問題 來 的 this also|is|a|very big|possessive particle|economic|problem|coming|past action particle This is also a very big economic issue.

沒有 什麼 亮點 可以 說 2021 年 完全 沒 亮點 there is no|anything|highlights|can|say|year|completely|no|highlights There were no highlights to mention; 2021 had no highlights at all.

唯一 的 一個 亮點 就是 它 反而 在 2021 年 的 那個 外銷 增加 了 很多 only|possessive particle|one|highlight|is|it|on the contrary|in|year|possessive particle|that|export|increased|past tense marker|a lot The only highlight is that exports actually increased a lot in 2021.

大家 知道 中共 的 經濟 是 三頭 馬車 消費 、投資 、出口 everyone|knows|Communist Party of China|possessive particle|economy|is|three-headed|horse-drawn carriage|consumption|investment|export As everyone knows, the Chinese economy is driven by three engines: consumption, investment, and exports.

出口 本來 現在 有 很多 的 供應鏈 離開 export|originally|now|has|many|possessive particle|supply chains|leaving Exports are currently facing many supply chains leaving.

本來 它 的 出口 不 應該 蓬勃 的 originally|it|possessive particle|export|not|should|prosperous|particle indicating adjective Originally, its exports should not have been booming.

但是 因為 2020 年 甚至 2021 年 but|because|year|even|year But because of 2020 and even 2021,

很多 的 東南亞 國家 已經 在 分 中國 工廠 的 一部 份 many|possessive particle|Southeast Asia|countries|already|at|sharing|China|factories|possessive particle|a part|portion many Southeast Asian countries have already taken a part of the Chinese factories.

東南亞 國家 例如 越南 、印度 很多 疫情 嚴重 到 不得了 Southeast Asia|countries|such as|Vietnam|India|many|pandemic|severe|to|extremely Southeast Asian countries like Vietnam and India had very serious outbreaks.

所以 很多 歐美國家 沒 辦法 只好 把 訂單 又 返回 去 中共 那裏 so|many|Western countries|no|solution|had no choice but to|(particle indicating disposal)|order|again|return|to|Chinese Communist Party|there So many European and American countries had no choice but to return the orders back to the CCP.

所以 根據 它 (中共 )自己 說 九月份 的 出口額 是 同比 增長 28.1% so|according to|it|CCP|itself|said|September|(possessive particle)|export volume|is|year-on-year|growth So according to what it (the CCP) said, the export value in September increased by 28.1% year-on-year.

達到 3,057 億 美元 這是 它們 的 數字 reached|hundred million|US dollars|this is|they|possessive particle|number It reached 305.7 billion US dollars, this is their figure.

但 這 的確 是 2021 年 的 亮點 來 的 但當 疫情 but|this|indeed|is|year|possessive particle|highlight|coming|past action particle|but when|pandemic But this is indeed a highlight of 2021, but when the pandemic...

例如 越南 、菲律賓 、大馬 (馬來西亞 )、印度 的 疫情 他們 是 控制 了 for example|Vietnam|Philippines|Malaysia|Malaysia|India|possessive particle|pandemic|they|are|controlled|past tense marker For example, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, and India, they have controlled their outbreaks.

他們 的 工廠 又 能夠 接單 的 時候 中共 又 會 將 這些 訂單 輸 了 they|possessive particle|factory|again|able to|take orders|possessive particle|when|the Communist Party|again|will|will send|these|orders|lose|past tense marker When their factories were able to take orders, the CCP would lose these orders.

因為 人們 本來 就 已經 不想 給 中 (共) 國 做 的 because|people|originally|already|already|do not want|to give|China|(communist)|country|to do|particle indicating past action Because people originally did not want to do business with China.

給中 ( 共 ) 國做 的 那個 成本 是 高 很多 、 人工 高 很多 The cost of doing business with China is much higher, and labor costs are much higher.

但是 沒有 辦法 這個 疫情 很 嚴重 but|no|solution|this|pandemic|very|serious However, there is no way; the pandemic is very serious.

如果 疫情 在 供應鏈 這些 國家 能 控制 的話 if|pandemic|in|supply chain|these|countries|can|control|then If the pandemic can be controlled in these supply chain countries,

出口 訂單 會 在 中 (共) 國 會 再次 流失 就是 這樣 export|order|will|in|China|(total)|country|will|again|loss|just|like this export orders will once again be lost to China, that's how it is.

中共 怎樣 去 處理 這樣 的 問題 呢 例如 房地產 現在 崩盤 了 the Communist Party of China|how|to|handle|such|possessive particle|problem|question particle|for example|real estate|now|crash|past tense marker How will the Chinese Communist Party handle such problems, for example, the real estate market is now collapsing?

怎樣 辦 呢 始終 都 要 有人 埋單 (負責 任 ) how|to handle|question particle|in the end|all|need|someone|to pay the bill|responsible|responsibility What can be done? After all, someone has to foot the bill (take responsibility).

有 專家 說 它 (中共 )多數 會 再 印 銀紙 （錢 ） there is|expert|said|it|Chinese Communist Party|most likely|will|again|print|banknotes|money Some experts say that it (the Chinese Communist Party) will most likely print more money.

這些 債務 用印 錢 的 方法 將 它 擺平 these|debts|using a seal|money|possessive particle|method|will|it|settle This debt will be settled by using printed money.

但是 印錢 把 這個 債務 危機 表面 上 解決 了 but|printing money|particle indicating action|this|debt|crisis|superficially|on|solved|past tense marker However, printing money superficially resolves this debt crisis.

因為 印 了 錢 所以 到 了 最後 就 要 中國 老百姓 埋單 (負責 任 ) because|print|past tense marker|money|so|arrive|past tense marker|in the end|then|have to|China|common people|pay the bill|responsible|responsibility Because money was printed, in the end, the Chinese people have to foot the bill (take responsibility).

物價 都 貴 了 印錢 的 情況 就是 通貨膨脹 樣樣 都 貴 了 prices|all|expensive|past tense marker|printing money|possessive particle|situation|is|inflation|everything|all|expensive|past tense marker Prices have risen; the situation of printing money leads to inflation, everything has become more expensive.

所以 又 是 中國 老百姓 埋單 (負責 任 ) so|again|is|China|common people|pay the bill|responsible|duty So again, it is the Chinese people who have to foot the bill (take responsibility).

很多 公務員 因為 地方 政府 剛才 所說 的 沒什麼 稅收 many|civil servants|because|local|government|just now|what was said|possessive particle|not much|tax revenue Many civil servants, because the local government, as mentioned earlier, has little tax revenue.

所以 就 減薪 減薪 是 2021 年 的 事 so|then|salary reduction|salary reduction|is|year|possessive particle|matter |||減給|||| So they have to cut salaries; salary cuts happened in 2021.

現在 不 只是 減薪 而且 不再 招募 now|not|only|salary reduction|but also|no longer|hiring Now it's not just salary cuts, but also no more recruitment.

我 的 預測 是 在 2022 年 很多 公務員 會 被 炒 魷 (解僱 )下崗 I|possessive particle|prediction|is|in|year|many|civil servants|will|passive marker|fired|squid|dismissal|out of work ||||||||||解雇|イカ|解雇|解雇 My prediction is that in 2022, many civil servants will be laid off.

或 其它 也好 總之 不 只是 減薪 or|other|that's fine|in any case|not|only|pay cut Or whatever else, in short, it's not just salary cuts.

這是 中共 解決 它們 第一個 問題 的 方法 this is|the Communist Party of China|to solve|their|first|problem|possessive particle|method This is the method the CCP uses to solve its first problem.

第二個 就是 所謂 的 能源 缺乏 碳 、電 什麼 也好 the second|is|so-called|possessive particle|energy|lack of|carbon|electricity|anything|is fine The second is the so-called energy shortage, carbon, electricity, or whatever.

之前 它 用 的 方式 就是 所謂 的 運動 式 減碳 previously|it|used|possessive particle|method|is|so-called|possessive particle|movement|style|carbon reduction Previously, the method it used was what is known as the sports-style carbon reduction.

把 它 作為 一個 政治 任務 來 做 它 的 方式 是 很 激烈 的 Treating it as a political task to carry out is very intense.

搞 一刀切 意思 就是 一下 就 減 下去 to implement|one-size-fits-all|meaning|just|all at once|then|reduce|down A one-size-fits-all approach means reducing it all at once.

不管 任何 東西 所以 很多 的 地方 工廠 都 電荒 no matter|any|thing|so|many|possessive particle|places|factories|all|electricity shortage |||||||||電力不足 Regardless of anything, many factories in various places are facing power shortages.

很多 企業 一個 禮拜 只 開 3 天 停 4 天 有些 是 開 2 天 停 5 天 many|companies|one|week|only|open|days|closed|days|some|are|open|days|closed|days Many companies operate only 3 days a week and stop for 4 days; some operate 2 days and stop for 5 days.

所以 工業生產 是 受到 很大 的 影響 So industrial production is greatly affected.

中共 會 不會 有 方法 去 解決 呢 the Communist Party of China|will|will not|have|method|to|solve|question particle Will the CCP have a way to solve this?

我 覺得 中共 ···如果 這是 一個 意識形態 的 東西 I|think|Communist Party|if|this is|an|ideology|possessive particle|thing I think the CCP... if this is an ideological issue.

是 習近平 很 想 很 想 真的 達到 2030 年 碳達峰 2060 年 的 碳 中和 is|Xi Jinping|very|wants|very|wants|really|to achieve|year|carbon peak|year|possessive particle|carbon|neutrality Xi Jinping really wants to achieve the carbon peak by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060.

如果 他 真是 很 想 達到 這些 東西 if|he|really|very|wants|to achieve|these|things If he really wants to achieve these goals.

因為 這是 能夠 讓 他 和 世界 再 連結 的 一樣 東西 because|this is|able to|allow|him|and|world|again|connect|possessive particle|same|thing Because this is something that can reconnect him with the world.

跟 世界 也 沒話可說 的 了 只 剩下 這 東西 還有 人 聽 他 一下 with|world|also|nothing to say|(possessive particle)|past tense marker|only|remaining|this|thing|still has|person|to listen|he|a moment There is nothing left to say to the world, only this thing still has someone to listen to him.

他 是 不會 縮手 (放手 )的 因為 習近平 著重 的 不是 經濟 he|is|will not|retract|let go|(particle indicating past action)|because|Xi Jinping|focuses on|(particle indicating possession)|is not|economy He will not back down (let go) because what Xi Jinping focuses on is not the economy.

他 不是 真的 很 介意 經濟 冧 曬 （跨 了 ) he|is not|really|very|mind|economy|collapse|exposed|cross|past tense marker He doesn't really care if the economy collapses.

他 很 介意 很 介意 是 他 自己 的 事情 he|very|minds|very|minds|is|he|himself|possessive particle|business What he really cares about is his own matters.

例如 他 認為 這件 事 是 可以 令到 他 和 拜登 有 話 可 說 for example|he|thinks|this|matter|is|can|make|he|and|Biden|have|conversation|possible|to talk For example, he believes that this matter can allow him to have something to talk about with Biden.

他 可能 會 走 這條 路 所以 我們 就 看 還有 很多 的 情況 he|might|will|take|this|road|so|we|then|see|there are still|many|possessive particle|situations He might take this path, so we will see, there are still many situations.

例如 說 他 願不願意 再 向 澳洲 那樣 的 國家 輸入 煤炭 for example|say|he|willing or not willing|again|to|Australia|like that|possessive particle|country|import|coal For example, whether he is willing to import coal from countries like Australia again.

種種 種種 會 有 影響 會 不會 有 一些 太子黨 霸住 這些 電業 Various factors will have an impact, will there be some princelings monopolizing these electricity businesses?

和 習近平 在 爭拗 （爭鬥 ）我 就是 不 放電 出來 and|Xi Jinping|at|arguing|fighting|I|just|not|release|out And Xi Jinping is in a dispute (struggle), I just won't release the electricity.

因為 你 的 價錢 沒 調整 過 會否 有 這種 情況 不 清楚 because|you|possessive particle|price|not|adjusted|past action marker|whether|have|this kind of|situation|not|clear Because your price has not been adjusted, is there a situation that is unclear?

但是 我 覺得 這個 能源 對 中共 來講 也 是 一個 很大 很大 的 問題 but|I|think|this|energy|to|CCP|from the perspective of|also|is|a|very big|very big|(possessive particle)|problem However, I think this energy is also a very big problem for the Chinese Communist Party.

2022 年 看不到 有 什麼 解決 的 實際 的 發展 目前 看不到 任何 的 發展 year|cannot see|have|any|solution|possessive particle|practical|possessive particle|development|currently|cannot see|any|possessive particle|development In 2022, I do not see any practical developments for a solution; currently, I see no developments.

第三個 就是 產業鏈 離開 中國 這些 一去不復返 third|is|supply chain|leaving|China|these|gone for good The third point is that the industrial chain leaving China will not return.

一個 產業 在 中國 建立 是 需要 十多 二十 年 的 時間 才 到 一個 穩定 的 情況 a|industry|in|China|established|is|needs|over ten|twenty|years|possessive particle|time|only|reach|a|stable|possessive particle|situation It takes more than ten to twenty years to establish an industry in China to reach a stable situation.

它 要 離開 中國 是 經過 很 詳細 的 考慮 走 了 就 不會 再 返 回來 it|wants|to leave|China|is|after|very|detailed|possessive particle|consideration|to go|past tense marker|then|will not|again|return|come back It has left China after very detailed consideration and will not return.

所以 事情 就是 這樣 以後 的 訂單 沒 了 就 沒 啦 so|thing|is|like this|in the future|possessive particle|orders|not|past tense marker|then|not|final particle So that's how it is, there will be no more orders in the future.

第四個 就是 他 將 民企 現在 全部 都 殺得 七七八八 the fourth|is|he|will|private enterprises|now|all|all|killed|almost completely The fourth point is that he has almost wiped out all private enterprises.

據說 在 11 個 月 裏面 消滅 了 490 萬個 中小 的 民企 it is said|in|measure word|months|within|eliminated|past tense marker|ten thousand|small and medium-sized|possessive particle|private enterprises It is said that 4.9 million small and medium-sized private enterprises were eliminated in 11 months.

國進民退 都 是 他 的 ...... state-owned enterprises advancing while private enterprises retreat|all|is|he|possessive particle State-owned enterprises advancing and private enterprises retreating is all his doing...

剛才 所說 的 是 一個 意識 型態 是 他 的 路線 的 東西 just now|what was said|possessive particle|is|a|consciousness|type|is|he|possessive particle|route|possessive particle|thing What was just said is a type of consciousness that is part of his route.

所以 都 不會 有 翻生 的 了 不會 說 我 今天 要 你 下來 so|all|will not|have|resurrection|(particle indicating past action)|(particle indicating completed action)|will not|say|I|today|want|you|come down So there won't be any resurrection, it won't be said that I want you to come down today.

我 把 阿里巴巴 變成 國企 然後 明天 我 再 把 你 變成 民企 I|(particle indicating disposal)|Alibaba|turned into|state-owned enterprise|then|tomorrow|I|again|(particle indicating disposal)|you|turned into|private enterprise I turn Alibaba into a state-owned enterprise, and then tomorrow I will turn you into a private enterprise.

是 沒有 可能 的 有些 東西 毀壞 了 is|not|possible|(possessive particle)|some|things|destroyed|past tense marker It is impossible; some things are destroyed.

你 要 再 將 它 還原 是 需要 很多 時間 you|need|again|to restore|it|to its original state|is|requires|a lot of|time To restore it, a lot of time is needed.

有些 還是 沒 可能 的 完完全全 毀壞 了 就是 毀壞 了 some|still|not|possible|(possessive particle)|completely|destruction|past tense marker|just|destruction|past tense marker Some things are still completely impossible to destroy, they are just destroyed.

中共 在 製造 錢 方面 除了 印錢 都 是 前 一段時間 降準 the Communist Party of China|in|creating|money|aspect|besides|printing money|all|is|previous|period of time|lowering the reserve requirement ratio The Chinese Communist Party, in terms of creating money, besides printing money, has also recently lowered the reserve requirement.

降準 據說 是 多 了 一 萬多億 的 人民幣 出來 reserve requirement ratio cut|it is said|is|more|past tense marker|one|over a trillion|possessive particle|Renminbi|coming out It is said that lowering the reserve requirement has released over a trillion yuan.

我 相信 這一 萬多億 人民幣 也 是 很快 地 用光 債 就是 債 I|believe|this|over ten trillion|RMB|also|is|very quickly|adverbial particle|used up|debt|is just|debt I believe this over a trillion yuan will also be quickly used up; debt is still debt.

你 用 這個 方式 那個 方式 始終 這個 債 也 是 要 還的 you|use|this|method|that|method|ultimately|this|debt|also|is|must|repaid No matter how you do it, this debt still has to be repaid.

所以 看不到 這個 所謂 inflation (通貨膨脹 )有些 什麼 可以 解決 的 so|cannot see|this|so-called|inflation|currency devaluation|some|what|can|solve|particle So, we cannot see what this so-called inflation can solve.

而 這個 通貨膨脹 也 不是 中 (共) 國 的 問題 and|this|inflation|also|is not|China|Communist|country|possessive particle|problem And this inflation is not just a problem of China.

現在 是 一個 世界性 的 問題 now|is|a|global|possessive particle|problem It is now a global issue.

第六個 就是 海外 的 剛才 所說 的 外匯儲備 的 問題 sixth|is|overseas|possessive particle|just now|mentioned|possessive particle|foreign exchange reserves|possessive particle|question The sixth point is the issue of foreign exchange reserves mentioned earlier.

剛剛 說 了 中 (共) 國 的 出口 雖然 是 增長 強勁 2021 年 是 唯一 的 亮點 just|said|past tense marker|China|(common)|country|possessive particle|export|although|is|growth|strong|year|is|only|possessive particle|highlight It was just mentioned that although China's exports are growing strongly, 2021 is the only highlight.

但是 根據 明 居正 教授 接受 《 美國之音 》 訪問 的 時候 but|according to|Ming|Ju Zheng|professor|accepted|Voice of America|interview|possessive particle|time However, according to Professor Ming Juzheng during an interview with Voice of America,

他 說 外匯儲備 雖然 出口 很 強勁 但是 外匯儲備 沒 增加 he|said|foreign exchange reserves|although|exports|very|strong|but|foreign exchange reserves|not|increased he said that although exports are very strong, foreign exchange reserves have not increased.

為 什麼 這麼 奇怪 出口 強勁 是 賺 美元 的 嘛 why|so|so|strange|export|strong|is|earning|US dollars|possessive particle|question particle Why is it so strange that strong exports should earn US dollars?

賺 了 美元 會 在 你 的 外匯儲備 裏面 顯現出來 的 嘛 但是 沒 增加 earn|past tense marker|US dollars|will|in|you|possessive particle|foreign exchange reserves|inside|show up|past tense marker|question particle|but|not|increase Earning US dollars should reflect in your foreign exchange reserves, but they have not increased.

明 教授 說 很 可能 有 很多 資金 外逃 人 拿 了 錢 就 走 Ming|professor|said|very|likely|has|a lot of|funds|capital flight|people|take|past tense marker|money|then|leave Professor Ming said it is very likely that a lot of capital has fled, with people taking their money and leaving.

另外 一些 就是 外資 持續 撤資 外資 走 的 時候 要 把 賺 的 錢 帶走 additionally|some|is|foreign investment|continuously|withdrawing|foreign investment|leave|possessive particle|when|must|particle indicating action|earned|possessive particle|money|take away Another reason is that foreign capital continues to withdraw; when foreign capital leaves, it takes the profits with it.

是 從 外匯 裏面 拿 出來 的 或者 第三個 可能性 is|from|foreign exchange|inside|take|out|past action particle|or|third|possibility This is either taken out from foreign exchange or there is a third possibility.

就是 中共 很多 高官 覺得 這條 船 快要 沉 了 it is|the Communist Party of China|many|high officials|feel|this|ship|about to|sink|past tense marker Many high-ranking officials in the Communist Party feel that this ship is about to sink.

所以 想盡方法 轉移 資金 轉移 資金 當然 就是 美元 就 這樣 so|think of every possible way|transfer|funds|transfer|funds|of course|is|US dollars|then|like this So they are trying every means to transfer funds, and of course, that means transferring to US dollars.

所以 這些 都 是 中共 要 面對 的 問題 說來說去 問題 解決不了 so|these|all|are|the Communist Party of China|needs to|face|(possessive particle)|problems|after all the discussion|problems|cannot be solved So these are all the problems that the Communist Party has to face; in the end, the problems cannot be solved.

我 剛 開始 已經 說 了 就 說 習近平 會 面對 很 大 的 黨內 挑戰 I|just|started|already|said|past tense marker|then|said|Xi Jinping|will|face|very|big|possessive particle|within the party|challenges I already said from the very beginning that Xi Jinping will face significant challenges within the party.

前 兩三 集 我們 說 得 很 清楚 previous|two or three|episodes|we|spoke|particle indicating degree|very|clearly In the previous two or three episodes, we made it very clear.

他 在 路線鬥爭 裏面 出現 過 、發生 過 些 什麼 事情 he|at|route struggle|inside|appeared|past tense marker|happened|past tense marker|some|what|events We discussed what has happened in the ideological struggle.

但是 最近 這 幾天 據聞 有些 消息 說 已經 進 到 軍隊 裏面 but|recently|this|few days|reportedly|some|news|saying|already|infiltrated|into|military|inside However, in the past few days, there have been reports that some news has already reached the military.

軍隊 裏面 很不穩 軍隊 裏面 有些 習近平 控制不了 的 因素 The military is very unstable, and there are factors within the military that Xi Jinping cannot control.

打破 了 很多 人 的 神話 說 break|past tense marker|many|people|possessive particle|myths|saying It has shattered many people's myths.

習近平 在 軍隊 裏面 已經 掌握 了 他 所有 的 勢力 Xi Jinping|in|military|inside|already|has mastered|past tense marker|he|all|possessive particle|power Xi Jinping has already mastered all his power within the military.

他 要 的 東西 全部 拿 得到 he|wants|possessive particle|things|all|take|can get He has obtained everything he wants.

你 說 這件 事 是 很大 的 一件 事來 的 可不可以 證實 到 呢 you|say|this|matter|is|very big|past action particle|one|matter|past action particle|can|confirm|to|question particle You say this is a very significant matter, can it be verified?

怎樣 去 證明 呢 當中 有些 細節 how|to|prove|question particle|in the process|some|details How can it be proven? There are some details involved.

今天 太長 我 不想 說太多 的 細節 today|too long|I|do not want|to say too much|possessive particle|details Today is too long, I don't want to talk too much about the details.

但是 中共 的 軍報 過去 幾天 出 了 篇 文章 but|Communist Party of China|possessive particle|military newspaper|past|few days|published|past tense marker|measure word for articles|article However, in the past few days, the military report from the Chinese Communist Party published an article.

裏面 很 清楚 地 說 有些 個別 的 黨員 、幹部 對 國家 不 關心 inside|very|clearly|adverbial particle|says|some|individual|possessive particle|party members|cadres|towards|country|not|concerned It clearly states that some individual party members and officials do not care about the country.

對 政治 要求 、 政治 規矩 、 政治 紀律 不上 心 They do not pay attention to political requirements, political rules, and political discipline.

對 各種 的 政治 危害 不上心 對 貫徹 黨中央 的 大政方針 不上心 regarding|various|possessive particle|political|harm|not take seriously|regarding|implementing|party central|possessive particle|major policy|not take seriously They are indifferent to various political dangers and do not care about implementing the major policies of the Party Central Committee.

這些 全部 都是 不上心 的 是 什麼 意思 呢 these|all|are|not taken to heart|possessive particle|is|what|meaning|question particle What does it mean that all of these are not taken to heart?

其實 就是說 軍隊 裏面 軍心 散 渙 這是 說 得 輕 的 Actually, it means that the morale within the army is scattered, to put it lightly.

如果說 重點 就是 對 習近平 的 忠誠 出現 了 問題 if we say|point|is|towards|Xi Jinping|possessive particle|loyalty|appeared|past tense marker|problem To put it more seriously, it indicates that there are issues with loyalty to Xi Jinping.

中 (共) 國 軍報 自己 寫 出來 的 所以 如果 軍隊 都 不行 的話 China|(common)|country|military report|itself|write|out|past action particle|so|if|army|also|not able|then This is something that the Chinese (Communist) military newspaper wrote itself, so if the army is not functioning well,

習近平 還能 掌握 些 什麼 實實在在 的 權力 呢 Xi Jinping|can still|grasp|some|what|real|possessive particle|power|question particle what real power can Xi Jinping still hold?

在 2022 年 我們 就 會 看到 這方面 會 有 很大 in|year|we|then|will|see|this aspect|will|have|very large In 2022, we will see significant developments in this area.

我 覺得 會 有 很大 的 動作 I|think|will|have|very big|particle|action I think there will be major actions.

因為 習近平 他 的 權力 不是 到 二十大 開會 的 時候 才 完全 認定 的 because|Xi Jinping|he|possessive particle|power|not|until|20th National Congress|meeting|past action particle|time|only|completely|recognized|past action particle Because Xi Jinping's power is not fully established just by the time of the 20th National Congress.

之前 他 要 搞定 所有 的 有關 勢力 特別 是 軍隊 before|he|needs to|resolve|all|possessive particle|related to|forces|especially|is|military Before that, he needs to deal with all the relevant forces, especially the military.

他 搞不定 的話 就會 出大 問題 he|can't handle|if|will|cause big|problem If he can't manage that, there will be big problems.

所以 這些 都 是 我 覺得 2022 年 中共 要 面對 的 問題 so|these|all|are|I|think|year|CCP|will|face|(possessive particle)|problems So these are the problems that I think the Chinese Communist Party has to face in 2022.

這些 問題 不是 2022 年 或者 2021 年 產生 的 these|questions|are not|year|or|year|generated|past tense marker These problems did not arise in 2022 or 2021.

但 有些 的確 是 2021 年 but|some|indeed|are|year But some indeed appeared in 2021.

剛才 我 說 了 有 幾種 事情 是 2021 年 才 出現 的 just now|I|said|past tense marker|have|several types|things|are|year|only|appeared|past action particle Just now I mentioned that there are several issues that only emerged in 2021.

例如 殺 民企 2021 年 才 出現 的 for example|kill|private enterprise|year|only|appeared|past tense marker For example, the crackdown on private enterprises only appeared in 2021.

還有 就是 權鬥 已經 去到 表面化 also|that is|power struggle|already|reached|surface level Moreover, the power struggle has already become apparent.

也 是 2021 年 才 出現 的 2022 年 是 2021 年 的 延續 also|is|year|only|appeared|possessive particle|year|is|year|possessive particle|continuation It also only appeared in 2021, and 2022 is a continuation of 2021.

我們 看看 還有 什麼 我們 還 沒 有 看得 很 清楚 的 we|take a look|still have|what|we|still|not|have|read|very|clearly|past action particle Let's see what else we haven't clearly observed.

今天 路橋 和 我們 回顧 了 一下 2021 年 和 2022 年 的 展望 Today|Luk Kiu|and|we|reviewed|past tense marker|briefly|year|and|year|possessive particle|outlook Today, the bridge and I reviewed the outlook for 2021 and 2022.

我們 接著 下來 在 今年 2022 年 見證 一下 we|next|come|in|this year|year|witness|a moment Next, we will witness this in 2022.

路橋 的 這些 願景 有 多少 是 實現 的 road bridge|possessive particle|these|visions|have|how many|are|realized|past action particle How many of these visions for the road and bridge have been realized?

如果 您 在 看 我們 的 節目 還未 訂閱 的話 if|you|are|watching|our|possessive particle|show|not yet|subscribed|then If you are watching our program and have not subscribed yet,

請 您 點擊 右下角 去 訂閱 順便 點擊 小 鈴鐺 please|you|click|bottom right corner|to|subscribe|by the way|click|small|bell please click the bottom right corner to subscribe and also click the little bell.

我們 每 一次 有 新 節目 的 時候 都 會 通知 你 的 we|every|time|have|new|program|possessive particle|time|all|will|inform|you|past action particle We will notify you every time we have a new program.

這裏 是 【 粵講粵 有理 】 再見 This is "Cantonese Talk with Reason". Goodbye.