二手 創 8 年 新高 等 下 等 下 更加 貴 Begagnat Nytt 8-årsmaximum Väntar på det Väntar på det Dyrare 二手创8 年新高等下等下更加贵 Second-hand properties have reached a new high in 8 years, and they are expected to become even more expensive.

大家 好 ，歡迎 大家 收看 樓市 C 見 ||||观看||| everyone|good|welcome|everyone|watching|property market|C|meeting Hello everyone, welcome to the property market C view.

我 是 今 集 主持人 I|am|today|episode|host I am the host for this episode.

今 集 再 有 施生 ，與 我們 暢談 最 新 樓市 走勢 today|episode|again|has|Mr Si|with|us|discuss freely|most|new|property market|trend In this episode, we have Mr. Si again, who will discuss the latest trends in the property market with us.

中原 城市 領先 指數 CCL ， 最 新 報 180.33 點 Central Plains|city|leading|index|CCL|||report|points The latest report from the Centaline City Leading Index (CCL) is 180.33 points.

雖然 按 周 跌 0.33 % although|according to|week|drop Although it fell by 0.33% weekly

但 都 維持 180 點 水平 but|still|maintain|point|level it still maintains a level of 180 points

今年 首季 已 累升 1.2 % this year|first quarter|already|cumulative increase In the first quarter of this year, it has already increased by 1.2%

看到 樓價 平穩 向 上升 see|property prices|stable|towards|increase We see that housing prices are steadily rising

第 二 季 你 又 如何 預測 second|season|season|you|again|how|predict How do you predict the second quarter?

是否 再 向 上升 whether|again|towards|rise Will it rise further?

你 早前 預測 樓價 ，全 年 升 達 15% you|earlier|predicted|property price|whole|year|increase|reached You predicted earlier that property prices would increase by 15% for the whole year.

現時 大家 憧憬 通關 在望 currently|everyone|hopes for|border reopening|in sight Currently, everyone is looking forward to the reopening.

你 的 預測 ，是否 已 包括 通關 因素 you|possessive particle|prediction|whether|already|include|customs clearance|factor Does your prediction include the factor of reopening?

會否 比 15 % 還 高 will it|than|still|higher Will it be higher than 15%?

一 個 星期 的 上升 及 下降 ，是 十分 自然 one|measure word|week|possessive particle|rise|and|fall|is|very|natural An increase and decrease over a week is very natural.

好像 股市 一樣 ，亦有 上升 及 下降 like|stock market|the same|also has|rise|and|fall Just like the stock market, there are also increases and decreases.

今年 趨勢 仍 會 上升 this year|trend|still|will|rise The trend will still rise this year.

世界 有 多 方面 因素 ，不停 轉變 world|has|many|aspects|factors|constantly|changes The world has many factors that are constantly changing.

有人 認為 someone|thinks Some people believe.

美國 債券 孳息率 ，近期 上升 不少 United States|bond|yield|recently|increased|significantly The yield on U.S. bonds has recently risen significantly.

但是 香港 銀行 but|Hong Kong|bank However, Hong Kong banks

處理 按揭 心態 ，比 之前 積極 handling|mortgage|mindset|than|before|positive are more proactive in handling mortgage attitudes than before.

有 一些 銀行 略為 減息 there is|some|banks|slightly|reduce interest rates Some banks have slightly reduced interest rates.

另外 ，銀行 估價 亦 進取 additionally|bank|valuation|also|aggressive Additionally, banks' valuations are also aggressive.

以前 客人 買 樓 都 曾 投訴 In the past, customers who bought properties had complaints.

一些 樓盤 ，銀行 不 能 估 足 價格 some|property|bank|not|able to|estimate|full|price For some properties, banks could not accurately estimate the price.

近期 銀行 調整 後 ，估價 便 更 接近 recent|bank|adjustment|after|valuation|then|more|closer Recently, after adjustments by the banks, the valuations are much closer.

反映 了 銀行 對 後市 態度 積極 reflects|past tense marker|bank|towards|future market|attitude|positive This reflects the banks' positive attitude towards the market outlook.

我 今年 很 早 ，便 認為 樓價 會 向 上升 I|this year|very|early|then|believe|housing prices|will|towards|rise I believed very early this year that property prices would rise.

我 更 認為 會 超過 10 % I|even more|believe|will|exceed I believe it will exceed 10%.

主要 原因 ，是 疫情 將 緩和 main|reason|is|pandemic|will|ease The main reason is that the pandemic will ease.

西方 疫情 最 嚴重 的 美國 、英國 Western|pandemic|most|severe|possessive particle|United States|United Kingdom The United States and the United Kingdom, where the pandemic was most severe in the West,

積極 打 防疫針 proactive|get|vaccination are actively administering vaccines.

因為 真 的 十分 危險 because|really|possessive particle|very|dangerous Because it is really very dangerous.

美國 差不多 3千萬 人 確診 United States|almost|30 million|people|confirmed cases The United States has nearly 30 million confirmed cases.

根據 拜登 說法 ，注射 防疫針 的 人士 很 快 超過 2億 according to|Biden|statement|injection|vaccine|possessive particle|people|very|soon|will exceed|200 million According to Biden, the number of people vaccinated will soon exceed 200 million.

我 相信 今年 年中 及 下半年 I|believe|this year|mid-year|and|second half of the year I believe that many places will reopen in the middle and second half of this year.

很 多 地方 會 重新 開放 very|many|places|will|reopen|open Hong Kong has also recently relaxed restrictions.

香港 近期 亦 放寬 Hong Kong|recently|also|relaxed

好像 我 喜歡 游泳 ，今天 開始 就 可以 游泳 it seems|I|like|swimming|today|start|then|can|swim It seems that I like swimming, and I can start swimming today.

我 相信 隨 疫情 舒緩 I|believe|with|pandemic|easing I believe that as the pandemic eases,

不少 行業 都 會 復甦 many|industries|all|will|recover many industries will recover.

我 預期 中國 政府 I|expect|China|government I expect the Chinese government

對 香港 出入境 政策 regarding|Hong Kong|immigration|policy to adjust the entry and exit policies for Hong Kong.

或 資金 的 鬆緊 程度 ，影響 重要 or|capital|possessive particle|tightness|degree|affects|important The degree of monetary easing or tightening is important.

中國 政府 不 想 對 香港 樓價 出現 過 大 干預 China|government|not|want|to|Hong Kong|property prices|to appear|excessive|large|intervention The Chinese government does not want to intervene too much in Hong Kong's property prices.

做成 太 大 升幅 result|too|large|increase To avoid excessive increases.

但 於 外國 制裁 下 but|in|foreign countries|sanctions|under However, under foreign sanctions,

香港 多少 會 受到 壓力 Hong Kong|how much|will|receive|pressure Hong Kong will inevitably face some pressure.

我 自己 偏向 相信 ，並不 是 內幕 消息 I|myself|tend to|believe|not|is|insider|news I personally tend to believe that it is not insider information.

與 西方 較量 時 with|the West|compete|time When comparing with the West,

想 證明 香港 被 西方 制裁 時 ，不會 一 池 死水 want|to prove|Hong Kong|by|the West|sanctions|time|will not|one|pool|stagnant water I want to prove that when Hong Kong is sanctioned by the West, it will not be stagnant.

我 相信 資金 方面 I|believe|funding|aspect I believe in terms of funding,

會 更 為 寬鬆 will|even more|be|loose it will be more relaxed.

一方面 是 香港 投資 的 金融 產品 ，不少 已 開放 on one hand|is|Hong Kong|investment|possessive particle|financial|products|quite a few|already|opened On one hand, there are financial products for investment in Hong Kong, many of which have already been opened.

滬港通 、深港通 等 Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect|Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect|etc Such as the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect.

將來 可能 亦 買 債券 或 其他 產品 future|may|also|buy|bonds|or|other|products In the future, it may also include bonds or other products.

疫情 緩和 及 政策 傾斜 epidemic|easing|and|policy|tilt The easing of the pandemic and policy shifts.

都 對 香港 樓市 有利 all|to|Hong Kong|property market|beneficial All benefit the Hong Kong property market.

這些 情況 可能 於 these|situations|may|at These situations may occur in

年中 及 下半年 ，陸續 反映 mid-year|and|second half of the year|gradually|reflect mid-year and the second half of the year, gradually reflecting

2 、3 季 升幅 ，可能 會 比 第 1 季 更 好 quarter|growth|possibly|will|than|the|quarter|more|good the increase in the second and third quarters, which may be better than the first quarter.

所以 都 是 維持 10 % 升幅 so|all|is|maintain|increase Therefore, we are maintaining a 10% increase.

暫時 未 打算 修正 temporarily|not yet|plan|correct Currently, there are no plans to revise.

剛剛 提到 疫情 緩和 just now|mentioned|pandemic|eased Just mentioned that the pandemic is easing.

及 政府 放寬 限聚令 and|government|relax|gathering restriction order And the government is relaxing gathering restrictions.

社交 活動 、 經濟 活動 都 全面 復甦 Social activities and economic activities are fully recovering.

二手 樓市 亦 暢旺 second-hand|property market|also|thriving The second-hand property market is also thriving.

於 上 個 月 中原 十 大 屋苑 in|last|measure word|month|Central Plains|ten|major|housing estates In the last month, the top ten housing estates in Midland.

3月份 錄得 397 宗 成交 March|recorded|cases|transactions In March, 397 transactions were recorded.

於 SSD 3 年 辣招 之後 ，創 到 8 年 新高 at|SSD|years|aggressive strategy|after|created|reached|years|new high After 3 years of hot bidding in SSD, it has reached an 8-year high.

你 說 今年 升 15 % ，市民 會否 怕 you|said|this year|increase|citizens|will or will not|be afraid You said there will be a 15% increase this year, will the public be afraid?

遲 買 會 越 貴 ，而 盡快 入市 late|buy|will|the more|expensive|and|as soon as possible|enter the market Will waiting to buy make it more expensive, prompting them to enter the market quickly?

現時 算 不 算 是 入市 良機 currently|count|not|count|is|entering the market|good opportunity Is now considered a good opportunity to enter the market?

我 自己 瞭解 前線 I|myself|understand|frontline I understand the front line myself.

接盤 量 及 接客 量 The volume of takeovers and the volume of clients.

我們 系統 顯示 we|system|display Our system shows.

接客量 比 接盤量 增長 得 較快 customer acquisition|compared to|customer retention|growth|particle indicating degree|faster The volume of clients is growing faster than the volume of takeovers.

即是 不斷 有 新 客人 找 樓盤 that means|continuously|have|new|customers|looking for|properties This means that new clients are constantly looking for properties.

但是 樓盤 卻 賣 少見少 but|property|yet|sell|less and less However, the property market is selling less and less.

雖然 現時 ，未 到 不 問價 便 搶購 的 階段 although|currently|not|reach|not|asking for price|then|panic buying|possessive particle|stage Although we are not yet at the stage where people are buying without asking for prices.

但 從 供求 關係 上 but|from|supply and demand|relationship|on But from the perspective of supply and demand,

現時 樓盤 已 賣出 一 部分 currently|property|already|sold|one|part a portion of the properties have already been sold.

通常 都 是 便宜 樓盤 先 賣 usually|all|is|cheap|property|first|sold Usually, the cheaper properties are sold first.

可能 遲 買 的 選擇 會 少 may|late|buying|possessive particle|choices|will|fewer The options for late buyers may be fewer.

剩餘 的 業主 ，都 是 較 難 討價還價 remaining|possessive particle|property owners|all|are|relatively|difficult|bargaining The remaining owners are generally harder to negotiate with.

所以 有時 升 少許 便 會 停 so|sometimes|rise|a little|then|will|stop So sometimes a slight increase will stop.

過 一 段 時間 ，仍 未有 便宜 樓盤 推出 past|one|period|time|still|not yet|cheap|property|launched After a while, there are still no cheap properties being launched.

他 也 要 追價 He|also|wants|to chase the price He also needs to chase the price.

前 兩 年 ，有時 出現 情況 是 two years ago|two|years|sometimes|occurrence|situation|was Two years ago, there were times when

出外 格價 go out|price comparison I went out to compare prices.

未 有 決心 及 猶豫 一下 not|have|determination|and|hesitate|for a moment I was indecisive and hesitated for a moment.

兩 天 後 再 看 ，反而 樓盤 更 多 價格 更 便宜 two|days|later|again|look|on the contrary|properties|even|more|prices|even|cheaper After two days, when I looked again, there were actually more properties and the prices were cheaper.

比 上 星期 更 便宜 than|last|week|even|cheaper Cheaper than last week.

「幸好 上 星期 沒有 買 」 fortunately|last|week|did not|buy "Fortunately, I didn't buy last week."

現時 形勢 不同 ，樓價 反而 會 更 貴 currently|situation|different|housing prices|instead|will|even|expensive The current situation is different; property prices will actually be more expensive.

我 認為 價格 仍 會 向上 I|think|price|still|will|go up I believe prices will still go up.

現時 看準 就要 更 果斷 currently|be certain about|then must|even more|decisive If you see the opportunity now, you need to be more decisive.

我 曾 試過 讓 朋友 再 觀望 I|once|tried|to let|friend|again|observe I have tried to let my friends wait and see.

反而 被 埋怨 受 拖累 on the contrary|by|blamed|to be|dragged down Instead, being blamed and dragged down.

現時 新界 樓盤 ，數 小時 便 成交 currently|New Territories|property|count|hours|then|sold Currently, new properties in the New Territories are sold within a few hours.

二手 暢旺 ，看準 便 要 入市 second-hand|thriving|once you see|then|need|enter the market The second-hand market is thriving; if you see a good opportunity, you should enter the market.

說 完 二手 ，我們 再 談 一手 say|finish|used car|we|again|discuss|new car After discussing the second-hand market, let's talk about new properties.

3月份 的 新盤 推售 March|possessive particle|new property|launch for sale The new property sales in March.

好像 比 2月 稍 慢 seems|than|February|slightly|slower It seems to be slightly slower than February.

但 細看 數字 but|upon closer inspection|numbers But looking closely at the numbers,

3月 一手 成交量 ，有 接近 1,200 宗 成交 March|first-hand|transaction volume|has|close to|cases|transactions the number of transactions in March was close to 1,200.

和 2月 成交量 差不多 and|February|transaction volume|similar It's about the same as the transaction volume in February.

看到 一手 成交量 平穩 see|one lot|trading volume|stable We can see that the transaction volume is stable.

臨近 4月 復活節 黃金 檔期 approaching|April|Easter|golden|peak season Approaching April, the Easter golden period.

新盤 準備 陸續 上場 ，港九新界區 new property|preparing|gradually|coming onto the market|Hong Kong Kowloon and New Territories area New developments are preparing to come onto the market, in the Hong Kong, Kowloon, and New Territories areas.

二手 暢旺 ，你 認為 發展商 於 新盤 定價 上 second-hand|thriving|you|think|developer|at|new project|pricing|aspect The second-hand market is thriving. Do you think developers will be more aggressive in pricing new developments?

會否 更 進取 ，新盤 會否 更 貴 will it|more|aggressive|new development|will it|more|expensive Will new developments be more expensive?

現時 市況 向上 ，但 只是 穩步 上升 currently|market condition|upward|but|only|steadily|rising The current market situation is upward, but only steadily rising.

不是 急速 反彈 ，不是 幅度 高 上升 not|rapid|rebound|not|magnitude|high|rise It's not a rapid rebound, nor is it a high magnitude increase.

這 情況 下 ，買家 入市 都 是 審慎 this|situation|under|buyer|entering the market|all|is|cautious In this situation, buyers are also cautious when entering the market.

近期 看到 發展商 的 情況 recent|saw|developer|possessive particle|situation Recently, I've observed the situation of developers.

如果 開 高價 賣 不 出 ，或 之前 買 了 貴地 if|sell|high price|selling|not|sell out|or|previously|bought|past tense marker|expensive place If they sell at a high price and can't sell, or if they previously bought at a high price,

不 想 虧本 not|want|lose money they don't want to incur losses.

雖然 有時 買 錯 土地 都 會 虧本 although|sometimes|buying|wrong|land|also|will|lose money Although sometimes buying the wrong land can lead to losses.

發展商 有 時 與 師奶 一樣 developer|has|time|with|housewife|the same Developers sometimes act like housewives.

先 放出 理想價 ，如果 賣 不 出 才 再 減價 first|release|ideal price|if|sell|not|out|only then|again|lower the price First, they release an ideal price, and if it doesn't sell, they will lower the price.

會 有 這個 過程 will|have|this|process This process will occur.

所以 有些 樓盤 訂價 偏 高 so|some|property|pricing|relatively|high That's why some property listings are priced too high.

市場 是 不會 隨意 接受 market|is|will not|casually|accept The market will not accept things casually.

但 一些 位置 好 ，價錢 合理 but|some|locations|good|price|reasonable But some locations are good, and the prices are reasonable.

都 是 受 歡迎 all|are|received|welcome They are still popular.

我 認為 二手 暢旺 ，發展商 會 把 價格 叫 高 I|think|second-hand|prosperous|developer|will|(preposition)|price|raise|high I believe the second-hand market is thriving, and developers will raise the prices.

但 如果 太 高 ，又 會 遇到 阻力 but|if|too|high|again|will|encounter|resistance But if the prices are too high, they will encounter resistance.

整體 來說 ，剛剛 提到 1,200 宗 overall|speaking|just now|mentioned|cases Overall, just mentioned 1,200 cases.

1,200 宗 ， 一 年 約 14,000 宗 1,200 cases, about 14,000 cases a year.

與 每 年 落成量 ，15,000 宗 差不多 with|every|year|completion volume|cases|almost Similar to the annual completion volume of 15,000 cases.

如果 交投量 維持 1,000 多 宗 if|transaction volume|maintains|more|cases If the transaction volume remains over 1,000 cases,

表示 市場 是 健康 正常 indicates|market|is|healthy|normal it indicates that the market is healthy and normal.

如果 低過 1,000 宗 if|less than|cases If it is less than 1,000 cases

發展商 才 有 銷售 壓力 developer|only|has|sales|pressure only then will developers have sales pressure

那 價錢 才 會 回落 that|price|only|will|drop and prices will fall

我 相信 ，現時 問題 是 I|believe|current|problem|is I believe the current issue is

未有 足夠 的 樓盤 not yet|sufficient|possessive particle|housing supply there are not enough properties available

如果 再 多 樓盤 推出 ，成交 宗數 會 上升 if|again|more|property|launched|transaction|number of transactions|will|increase If more properties are launched, the number of transactions will increase.

過去 3 月 都 不算 多 樓盤 推出 past|month|also|not considered|many|property|launched In the past 3 months, there haven't been many properties launched.

對 ，因為 受 疫情 影響 yes|because|affected|pandemic|impact Yes, because of the impact of the pandemic.

如果 疫情 綬和 ，4月 會 有 新盤 不斷 登場 if|pandemic|eases|April|will|have|new properties|continuously|coming onto the market If the pandemic eases, there will be new properties continuously coming onto the market in April.

今 集 就 到此為止 ，感謝 施生 與 我們 分享 today|episode|just|ends here|thank you|Mr Shi|and|us|sharing This episode ends here, thank you Mr. Shi for sharing with us.